Single poll
GMS poll of 6 September 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 6 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Freie Wähler on 16.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 Sep 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 9 Aug 2023, Freie Wähler gains 4.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has Freie Wähler 3.1 points higher and SPD 1.8 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler +3.1average 12.9
- SPD -1.8average 9.8
- Grüne -1.3average 14.3
- CSU -1.0average 39.0
- Linke -0.8average 1.8
- AfD +0.6average 13.4
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU77
- Freie Wähler33
- AfD28
- Grüne26
- SPD16
- CSU + Freie Wähler110 of 180
- CSU + AfD105 of 180
- CSU + Grüne103 of 180
- CSU + SPD93 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 9 Aug 2023GMS, 19 Sep 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.