Single poll
GMS poll of 6 June 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 31 May 2023 to 5 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 41.0%, followed by Grüne on 14.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 31 May 2023 to 5 Jun 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 3 May 2023, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 15.3
- CSU +1.0average 40.0
- AfD +0.8average 11.2
- FDP -0.6average 4.6
- Freie Wähler -0.4average 11.4
- SPD -0.2average 10.2
- Linke +0.1average 1.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU84
- Grüne29
- AfD25
- Freie Wähler22
- SPD20
- CSU + Grüne113 of 180
- CSU + AfD109 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler106 of 180
- CSU + SPD104 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 3 May 2023GMS, 4 Jul 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.