Single poll
GMS poll of 3 May 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Apr 2023 to 2 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 41.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 26 Apr 2023 to 2 May 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 4 Jan 2023, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has SPD 1.9 points higher and Freie Wähler 1.6 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.9average 9.1
- Freie Wähler -1.6average 10.6
- Linke +1.2average 1.8
- Grüne -0.7average 16.7
- AfD -0.7average 10.7
- CSU +0.6average 40.4
- FDP -0.4average 4.4
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU84
- Grüne33
- SPD23
- AfD21
- Freie Wähler19
- CSU + Grüne117 of 180
- CSU + SPD107 of 180
- CSU + AfD105 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler103 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 4 Jan 2023GMS, 6 Jun 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.