Single poll
GMS poll of 5 January 2022 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Dec 2021 to 3 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 15.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 29 Dec 2021 to 3 Jan 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 28 Jul 2021, Grüne loses 5.0 points, SPD gains 5.0 points, CSU loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has SPD 4.3 points lower and CSU 2.2 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -4.3average 18.3
- CSU +2.2average 32.8
- AfD +2.0average 8.0
- Freie Wähler -1.5average 9.5
- Grüne -0.8average 15.8
- FDP -0.5average 9.5
- Linke ±0average 2.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU69
- Grüne29
- SPD28
- AfD20
- FDP18
- Freie Wähler16
- CSU + Grüne98 of 180
- CSU + SPD97 of 180
- CSU + AfD + FDP107 of 180
- CSU + AfD + Freie Wähler105 of 180
- CSU + FDP + Freie Wähler103 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 28 Jul 2021GMS, 1 Mar 2022 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2022
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.