Single poll
GMS poll of 1 March 2022 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 28 Feb 2022
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 15.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 23 to 28 Feb 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 5 Jan 2022, CSU gains 2.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has SPD 2.0 points lower and Linke 2.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.0average 15.0
- Linke +2.0average 2.0
- FDP +1.0average 7.0
- CSU +0.7average 36.3
- Grüne -0.5average 15.5
- AfD -0.5average 9.5
- Freie Wähler ±0average 8.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU74
- Grüne30
- SPD26
- AfD18
- FDP16
- Freie Wähler16
- CSU + Grüne104 of 180
- CSU + SPD100 of 180
- CSU + AfD92 of 180
- CSU + FDP + Freie Wähler106 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 5 Jan 2022GMS, 26 Apr 2022 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2022
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.