Single poll
GMS poll of 16 February 2021 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 15 Feb 2021
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 47.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 10 to 15 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 5 Jan 2021, AfD gains 2.0 points, CSU loses 1.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.0average 7.0
- Grüne -0.5average 18.5
- CSU ±0average 47.0
- SPD ±0average 8.0
- Freie Wähler ±0average 8.0
- FDP ±0average 4.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU95
- Grüne37
- SPD16
- AfD16
- Freie Wähler16
- CSU + Grüne132 of 180
- CSU + SPD111 of 180
- CSU + AfD111 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler111 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 5 Jan 2021GMS, 30 Mar 2021 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2021
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.