Single poll
GMS poll of 10 November 2020 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 9 Nov 2020
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 46.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 4 to 9 Nov 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 13 Oct 2020, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 19.5
- SPD -1.0average 9.0
- Freie Wähler -1.0average 7.0
- FDP +1.0average 3.0
- AfD +0.5average 7.5
- CSU ±0average 46.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU96
- Grüne38
- SPD17
- AfD17
- Freie Wähler12
- CSU + Grüne134 of 180
- CSU + SPD113 of 180
- CSU + AfD113 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler108 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 13 Oct 2020GMS, 5 Jan 2021 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.