Single poll
GMS poll of 21 August 2020 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Aug 2020
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 47.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Aug 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 28 Jul 2020, CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU -1.0average 48.0
- Grüne -1.0average 19.0
- SPD +0.5average 8.5
- AfD ±0average 7.0
- Freie Wähler ±0average 6.0
- FDP ±0average 3.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU97
- Grüne37
- SPD19
- AfD15
- Freie Wähler12
- CSU + Grüne134 of 180
- CSU + SPD116 of 180
- CSU + AfD112 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler109 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 28 Jul 2020GMS, 13 Oct 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.