Single poll
GMS poll of 16 June 2020 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Jun 2020
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 48.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Jun 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 5 May 2020, CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has Grüne 2.5 points lower and CSU 2.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.5average 18.5
- CSU +2.0average 46.0
- AfD -0.9average 6.9
- FDP +0.6average 3.4
- SPD -0.4average 9.4
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
- Freie Wähler ±0average 8.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU99
- Grüne33
- SPD19
- Freie Wähler17
- AfD12
- CSU + Grüne132 of 180
- CSU + SPD118 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler116 of 180
- CSU + AfD111 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 5 May 2020GMS, 28 Jul 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.