Single poll
GMS poll of 5 May 2020 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Apr 2020 to 4 May 2020
- Respondents
- 1,006
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 47.0%, followed by Grüne on 15.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 28 Apr 2020 to 4 May 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 25 Feb 2020, CSU gains 9.0 points, Grüne loses 5.0 points, AfD loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has Grüne 3.3 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.3average 18.3
- Freie Wähler +0.9average 8.1
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- CSU +0.4average 46.6
- SPD +0.3average 9.7
- AfD -0.3average 7.3
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU96
- Grüne31
- SPD21
- Freie Wähler18
- AfD14
- CSU + Grüne127 of 180
- CSU + SPD117 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler114 of 180
- CSU + AfD110 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 25 Feb 2020GMS, 16 Jun 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.