Single poll
GMS poll of 3 January 2020 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Dec 2019 to 2 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 27 Dec 2019 to 2 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 8 Oct 2019, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CSU gains 1.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has CSU 2.0 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU +2.0average 36.0
- Grüne -2.0average 22.0
- AfD -1.0average 11.0
- SPD -1.0average 9.0
- FDP +1.0average 5.0
- Linke +1.0average 3.0
- Freie Wähler ±0average 10.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU74
- Grüne39
- AfD20
- Freie Wähler19
- SPD16
- FDP12
- CSU + Grüne113 of 180
- CSU + AfD94 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler93 of 180
- CSU + SPD + FDP102 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 8 Oct 2019GMS, 25 Feb 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.