Single poll
GMS poll of 25 June 2019 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 24 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Jun 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 3 Jan 2019, Grüne gains 5.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 2.0 points, CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has Freie Wähler 2.6 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler -2.6average 11.6
- Grüne +1.4average 21.6
- AfD +0.9average 8.1
- FDP -0.6average 5.6
- CSU +0.5average 36.5
- SPD -0.4average 8.4
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU73
- Grüne45
- AfD18
- Freie Wähler18
- SPD16
- FDP10
- CSU + Grüne118 of 180
- CSU + AfD91 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler91 of 180
- CSU + SPD + FDP99 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 3 Jan 2019GMS, 23 Jul 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.