Single poll
GMS poll of 11 September 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 10 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,006
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 1 Aug 2018, CSU loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler -1.3average 8.3
- AfD +0.8average 13.2
- CSU -0.7average 36.7
- Linke +0.6average 3.4
- SPD -0.5average 12.5
- FDP +0.5average 5.5
- Grüne -0.1average 16.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU71
- Grüne31
- AfD28
- SPD24
- Freie Wähler14
- FDP12
- CSU + Grüne102 of 180
- CSU + AfD99 of 180
- CSU + SPD95 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP97 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 1 Aug 2018GMS, 27 Sep 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.