Single poll
GMS poll of 1 August 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 31 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 14.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 25 to 31 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 12 Jul 2018, AfD loses 1.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU -0.9average 39.9
- SPD -0.9average 12.9
- Freie Wähler +0.7average 7.3
- FDP +0.7average 5.3
- Grüne -0.3average 14.3
- AfD -0.3average 13.3
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU76
- Grüne27
- AfD25
- SPD24
- Freie Wähler16
- FDP12
- CSU + Grüne103 of 180
- CSU + AfD101 of 180
- CSU + SPD100 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler92 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 12 Jul 2018GMS, 11 Sep 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.