Single poll
GMS poll of 17 May 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 16 May 2018
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 42.0%, followed by SPD on 13.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 11 to 16 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 27 Apr 2018, CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 13.6
- AfD +1.2average 11.8
- FDP -1.0average 6.0
- Linke -1.0average 3.0
- Freie Wähler +0.3average 6.7
- CSU +0.2average 41.8
- SPD -0.2average 13.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU82
- SPD25
- AfD25
- Grüne24
- Freie Wähler14
- FDP10
- CSU + SPD107 of 180
- CSU + AfD107 of 180
- CSU + Grüne106 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler96 of 180
- CSU + FDP92 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 27 Apr 2018GMS, 12 Jul 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.