Single poll
GMS poll of 27 April 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 26 Apr 2018
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 44.0%, followed by SPD on 14.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 20 to 26 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 22 Mar 2018, CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has Grüne 2.1 points lower and CSU 1.9 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.1average 13.1
- CSU +1.9average 42.1
- AfD +0.8average 11.2
- Freie Wähler -0.6average 6.6
- FDP -0.6average 5.6
- SPD -0.5average 14.5
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU86
- SPD27
- AfD23
- Grüne22
- Freie Wähler12
- FDP10
- CSU + SPD113 of 180
- CSU + AfD109 of 180
- CSU + Grüne108 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler98 of 180
- CSU + FDP96 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 22 Mar 2018GMS, 17 May 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.