GMS poll of 22 March 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 21 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU43.0%+3.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Freie Wähler6.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others4.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 12 Feb 2018.
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 43.0%, followed by SPD on 15.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 16 to 21 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 12 Feb 2018, CSU gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has CSU 2.1 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU +2.1average 40.9
- Grüne -2.0average 13.0
- Freie Wähler -1.4average 7.4
- AfD +1.0average 11.0
- FDP +0.3average 5.7
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU83
- SPD29
- AfD23
- Grüne21
- FDP12
- Freie Wähler12
- CSU + SPD112 of 180
- CSU + AfD106 of 180
- CSU + Grüne104 of 180
- CSU + FDP95 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler95 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.