Single poll
GMS poll of 12 February 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 9 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 1,510
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 15.0%. 1,510 people were surveyed from 1 to 9 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 2 Jan 2018, CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler -1.2average 7.2
- Grüne -1.1average 12.1
- SPD -0.7average 15.7
- FDP -0.7average 6.7
- Linke -0.6average 3.6
- CSU +0.5average 39.5
- AfD +0.5average 11.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU80
- SPD30
- AfD24
- Grüne22
- FDP12
- Freie Wähler12
- CSU + SPD110 of 180
- CSU + AfD104 of 180
- CSU + Grüne102 of 180
- CSU + FDP92 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler92 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 2 Jan 2018GMS, 22 Mar 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.