Single poll
GMS poll of 30 November 2017 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 29 Nov 2017
- Respondents
- 1,006
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 15.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 27 to 29 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 19 Oct 2017, CSU loses 4.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has AfD 2.1 points higher and SPD 1.7 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.1average 11.9
- SPD -1.7average 16.7
- Freie Wähler -1.2average 8.2
- Grüne -1.0average 11.0
- Linke -0.8average 3.8
- CSU -0.2average 37.2
- FDP ±0average 8.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU73
- SPD29
- AfD28
- Grüne20
- FDP16
- Freie Wähler14
- CSU + SPD102 of 180
- CSU + AfD101 of 180
- CSU + Grüne93 of 180
- CSU + FDP + Freie Wähler103 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 19 Oct 2017GMS, 2 Jan 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2017
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.