Single poll
GMS poll of 19 October 2017 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 18 Oct 2017
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU41.0%
- SPD15.0%
- AfD13.0%
- Grüne11.0%
- FDP7.0%
- Freie Wähler6.0%
- Linke3.0%
- Others4.0%
41.0%
CSU
15.0%
SPD
13.0%
AfD
11.0%
Grüne
7.0%
FDP
6.0%
Freie Wähler
3.0%
Linke
4.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 41.0%, followed by SPD on 15.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 13 to 18 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has AfD 1.7 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 11.3
- Grüne -1.4average 12.4
- Freie Wähler -1.0average 7.0
- SPD +0.9average 14.1
- Linke -0.4average 3.4
- CSU +0.3average 40.7
- FDP -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU79
- SPD29
- AfD25
- Grüne21
- FDP14
- Freie Wähler12
- CSU + SPD108 of 180
- CSU + AfD104 of 180
- CSU + Grüne100 of 180
- CSU + FDP93 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler91 of 180
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.