Party · Hamburg
CDU/CSU in Hamburg: current polling
CDU/CSU in the Sunday question for the state election in Hamburg: average of the 2 pollsters whose latest poll is at most 180 days old, comparison with the last election result, trend and house effects.
Hamburg, polling average
18.0%
As of 20 Jun 2026, 2 pollsters
Versus election result 2 Mar 2025
-1.8
Election result 19.8%
Versus a year ago
-3.0
Average on 31 Oct 2024: 21.0%
Rank in the state
3
3 of 6 parties
Polling trend
CDU/CSU in the Hamburg Sunday question over time
CDU/CSU in the Hamburg Sunday question over time
Rolling 180-day average, shares in percent
Averaged across all pollsters, CDU/CSU stands at 18.0% in Hamburg (as of 20 Jun 2026), rank 3 among the parties.
Wahlergebnisse.io© 2026Source: dawum.de (ODbL), average calculated by us · As of: 20 Jun 2026
By pollster
CDU/CSU in Hamburg: value per pollster
Latest poll from each pollster within the averaging window, with the pollster's house effect for this party (mean deviation from the other pollsters' average in points).
| Pollster | Date | Value | House effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 20 Jun 2026 | 16.0% | – |
| Infratest dimap | 25 Mar 2026 | 20.0% | – |
States
CDU/CSU in all states
Polling average per state parliament, sorted by value; each row leads to the party's state page.
| State | Average | vs. election | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bavaria | 38.0% | +1.0 | 1 |
| Hesse | 31.0% | -3.6 | 1 |
| North Rhine-Westphalia | 30.5% | -5.2 | 1 |
| Schleswig-Holstein | 30.0% | -13.4 | 1 |
| Rhineland-Palatinate | 28.0% | -3.0 | 1 |
| Baden-Württemberg | 27.3% | -2.4 | 2 |
| Saarland | 25.0% | -3.5 | 2 |
| Saxony-Anhalt | 22.6% | – | 2 |
| Bremen | 22.5% | -3.7 | 1 |
| Lower Saxony | 22.0% | -6.1 | 2 |
| Thuringia | 22.0% | -1.6 | 2 |
| Saxony | 21.0% | -10.9 | 2 |
| Berlin | 19.6% | – | 2 |
| Brandenburg | 13.0% | +0.9 | 3 |
| Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania | 7.2% | – | 4 |
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More
CDU/CSU nationally and in all statesHamburg state election: all polls, seats and coalitionsSunday question Hamburg
- How is CDU/CSU polling in Hamburg right now?
- Averaged across all pollsters, CDU/CSU stands at 18.0% in Hamburg (as of 20 Jun 2026), rank 3 among the parties.
- How did CDU/CSU do in the last Hamburg state election?
- In the election on 2 March 2025, CDU/CSU won 19.8%. Against that result it is polling -1.8 today.
- When is the next state election in Hamburg?
- The next state election in Hamburg is expected spring 2030.