Party · Bavaria
CDU/CSU in Bavaria: current polling
CDU/CSU in the Sunday question for the state election in Bavaria: average of the 1 pollsters whose latest poll is at most 120 days old, comparison with the last election result, trend and house effects.
Bavaria, polling average
38.0%
As of 12 Sep 2026, 1 pollsters
Versus election result 8 Oct 2023
+1.0
Election result 37.0%
Versus a year ago
-4.0
Average on 17 Sep 2024: 42.0%
Rank in the state
1
1 of 8 parties
Polling trend
CDU/CSU in the Bavaria Sunday question over time
CDU/CSU in the Bavaria Sunday question over time
Rolling 120-day average, shares in percent
Averaged across all pollsters, CDU/CSU stands at 38.0% in Bavaria (as of 12 Sep 2026), rank 1 among the parties.
Wahlergebnisse.io© 2026Source: dawum.de (ODbL), average calculated by us · As of: 12 Sep 2026
By pollster
CDU/CSU in Bavaria: value per pollster
Latest poll from each pollster within the averaging window, with the pollster's house effect for this party (mean deviation from the other pollsters' average in points).
| Pollster | Date | Value | House effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Civey | 12 Sep 2026 | 38.0% | -0.9 |
States
CDU/CSU in all states
Polling average per state parliament, sorted by value; each row leads to the party's state page.
| State | Average | vs. election | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hesse | 31.0% | -3.6 | 1 |
| North Rhine-Westphalia | 30.5% | -5.2 | 1 |
| Schleswig-Holstein | 30.0% | -13.4 | 1 |
| Rhineland-Palatinate | 28.0% | -3.0 | 1 |
| Baden-Württemberg | 27.3% | -2.4 | 2 |
| Saarland | 25.0% | -3.5 | 2 |
| Saxony-Anhalt | 22.6% | – | 2 |
| Bremen | 22.5% | -3.7 | 1 |
| Lower Saxony | 22.0% | -6.1 | 2 |
| Thuringia | 22.0% | -1.6 | 2 |
| Saxony | 21.0% | -10.9 | 2 |
| Berlin | 19.6% | – | 2 |
| Hamburg | 18.0% | -1.8 | 3 |
| Brandenburg | 13.0% | +0.9 | 3 |
| Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania | 7.2% | – | 4 |
Next
More
CDU/CSU nationally and in all statesBavaria state election: all polls, seats and coalitionsSunday question Bavaria
- How is CDU/CSU polling in Bavaria right now?
- Averaged across all pollsters, CDU/CSU stands at 38.0% in Bavaria (as of 12 Sep 2026), rank 1 among the parties.
- How did CDU/CSU do in the last Bavaria state election?
- In the election on 8 October 2023, CDU/CSU won 37.0%. Against that result it is polling +1.0 today.
- When is the next state election in Bavaria?
- The next state election in Bavaria is expected autumn 2028.