Infratest dimap poll of 20 October 2026 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Bayerischer Rundfunk
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 17 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 1,207
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,207 people were surveyed from 12 to 17 Oct 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Bayerischer Rundfunk.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Jan 2026, CSU loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Freie Wähler 2.0 points lower and SPD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler -2.0average 11.0
- SPD +2.0average 6.0
- CSU -1.5average 37.5
- Grüne +1.0average 14.0
- Linke +1.0average 3.0
- AfD ±0average 21.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU73
- AfD43
- Grüne30
- Freie Wähler18
- SPD16
- CSU + AfD116 of 180
- CSU + Grüne103 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler91 of 180
- AfD + Grüne + Freie Wähler91 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.