Saarland state election 2022: the result
In the Saarland state election on 27 March 2022, SPD became the largest party with 43.5%, 15 points ahead of CDU (28.5%). SPD has governed since then; how the alliance stands in the polls today is shown on the page with the current election polls.
- Biggest move since 2017SPD +13.9 · CDU −12.2 · Linke −10.2
- Failed to clear the thresholdFDP (4.8%), Linke (2.6%), Piraten (0.3%)
- GovernmentSPD: 27 of 51 seats (projected)
- Polls one week beforeoff by 1.6 points per party on average, SPD underestimated by 5.2
- Statusofficial final result
Result of the 2022 state election
Shares in percent, change on the election of 26 Mar 2017 in points. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
- SPD43.5%+13.9
- CDU28.5%-12.2
- AfD5.7%-0.5
- Grüne5.0%+1.0
- FDP4.8%+1.5
- Linke2.6%-10.2
- Piraten0.3%-0.4
- Others9.6%+6.9
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the 2017 election.
| Party | 2022 | 2017 | Change | Seats (projected) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 43.5% | 29.6% | +13.9 | 27 |
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 28.5% | 40.7% | -12.2 | 18 |
| Alternative für Deutschland | 5.7% | 6.2% | -0.5 | 3 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 5.0% | 4.0% | +1.0 | 3 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 4.8% | 3.3% | +1.5 | – |
| Die Linke | 2.6% | 12.8% | -10.2 | – |
| Piratenpartei | 0.3% | 0.7% | -0.4 | – |
| Others | 9.6% | 2.7% | +6.9 | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Seats projected by d'Hondt on 51 regular seats, without overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Landtag of Saarland after the 2022 result
51 regular seats by d'Hondt. Electoral threshold of 5%. The actual size of the parliament may differ due to overhang and compensatory seats.
- SPD27
- CDU18
- Grüne3
- AfD3
Which alliances had a majority after the 2022 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority; the coalition actually formed is highlighted.
- SPDGovernment27 of 51
- SPD + CDU45 of 51
- SPD + Grüne30 of 51
- SPD + AfD30 of 51
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2022 state election
7 polls between 9 Mar 2022 and 25 Mar 2022, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | SPD | CDU | AfD | Grüne | FDP | Linke | Piraten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 25 Mar 2022 | 41 | 28 | 6.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 4 | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 24 Mar 2022 | 41 | 28 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 5 | 4 | – |
| INSA | 20 Mar 2022 | 39 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | – |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 18 Mar 2022 | 38 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18 Mar 2022 | 39 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | – |
| Infratest dimap | 17 Mar 2022 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | – |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 9 Mar 2022 | 35.5 | 30 | 8.5 | 7 | 6.5 | 5.5 | – |
Last poll before the election: Institut Wahlkreisprognose, 25 Mar 2022
Who came closest before the 2022 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | SPD | CDU | AfD | Grüne | FDP | Linke | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 27 Mar 2022 | 43.5% | 28.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 25 Mar 2022 (2 days before) | -2.5 | -0.5 | +0.8 | ±0 | +0.7 | +1.4 | 1.0 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 24 Mar 2022 (3 days before) | -2.5 | -0.5 | +0.8 | +0.5 | +0.2 | +1.4 | 1.0 |
| INSA | 20 Mar 2022 (7 days before) | -4.5 | +2.5 | +0.3 | ±0 | +0.2 | +1.4 | 1.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 17 Mar 2022 (10 days before) | -6.5 | +2.5 | +0.3 | ±0 | +0.2 | +1.4 | 1.8 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.