Single poll

INSA poll of 20 March 2022 for the Saarland state election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
14 to 17 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD39.0%+4.0
  • CDU31.0%+1.0
  • AfD6.0%-1.0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Grüne5.0%-3.0
  • Linke4.0%-3.0
  • Others10.0%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Jan 2022.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 39.0%, followed by CDU on 31.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Mar 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Jan 2022, SPD gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.8average 37.2
  • Grüne -1.0average 6.0
  • AfD -0.8average 6.8
  • CDU +0.7average 30.3
  • FDP -0.5average 5.5
  • Linke -0.5average 4.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

51 seats by d'Hondt, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 23 seatsCDU: 19 seatsFDP: 3 seatsGrüne: 3 seatsAfD: 3 seatsMajority from 2651of 51 seats
  • SPD23
  • CDU19
  • FDP3
  • Grüne3
  • AfD3
  • SPD + CDU42 of 51
  • SPD + FDP26 of 51
  • SPD + Grüne26 of 51
  • SPD + AfD26 of 51
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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