Single poll

INSA poll of 28 January 2022 for the Saarland state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
17 to 24 Jan 2022
Respondents
1,002
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD35.0%+8.0
  • CDU30.0%-6.0
  • Grüne8.0%-1.0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Jul 2021.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 35.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 17 to 24 Jan 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Jul 2021, SPD gains 8.0 points, CDU loses 6.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +2.0average 5.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 7.0
  • AfD -1.0average 8.0
  • FDP -1.0average 7.0
  • CDU -0.8average 30.8
  • SPD -0.5average 35.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

51 seats by d'Hondt, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 20 seatsCDU: 17 seatsGrüne: 4 seatsLinke: 4 seatsFDP: 3 seatsAfD: 3 seatsMajority from 2651of 51 seats
  • SPD20
  • CDU17
  • Grüne4
  • Linke4
  • FDP3
  • AfD3
  • SPD + CDU37 of 51
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke28 of 51
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP27 of 51
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD27 of 51
  • SPD + Linke + FDP27 of 51
  • SPD + Linke + AfD27 of 51
  • SPD + FDP + AfD26 of 51
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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