Single poll

INSA poll of 21 July 2021 for the Saarland state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
5 to 19 Jul 2021
Respondents
1,048
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU36.0%+5.0
  • SPD27.0%+6.0
  • Grüne9.0%-6.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%-7.0
  • AfD6.0%±0
  • Others8.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 May 2021.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,048 people were surveyed from 5 to 19 Jul 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 May 2021, Linke loses 7.0 points, SPD gains 6.0 points, Grüne loses 6.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 5.0 points higher and CDU 4.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +5.0average 22.0
  • CDU -4.0average 40.0
  • FDP +4.0average 3.0
  • Linke -4.0average 11.0
  • Grüne -3.0average 12.0
  • AfD -2.0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

51 seats by d'Hondt, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 20 seatsSPD: 15 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsFDP: 4 seatsLinke: 4 seatsAfD: 3 seatsMajority from 2651of 51 seats
  • CDU20
  • SPD15
  • Grüne5
  • FDP4
  • Linke4
  • AfD3
  • CDU + SPD35 of 51
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP29 of 51
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke29 of 51
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD28 of 51
  • CDU + FDP + Linke28 of 51
  • CDU + FDP + AfD27 of 51
  • CDU + Linke + AfD27 of 51
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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