Single poll

INSA poll of 11 May 2021 for the Saarland state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
3 to 10 May 2021
Respondents
1,052
Method
Online
  • CDU31.0%-5.0
  • SPD21.0%-3.0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • Linke14.0%+3.0
  • FDP7.0%+3.0
  • AfD6.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Dec 2019.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,052 people were surveyed from 3 to 10 May 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Dec 2019, CDU loses 5.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, Linke gains 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 9.0 points lower and FDP 4.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 11 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -9.0average 40.0
  • FDP +4.0average 3.0
  • Grüne +3.0average 12.0
  • Linke +3.0average 11.0
  • AfD -2.0average 8.0
  • SPD -1.0average 22.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

51 seats by d'Hondt, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 17 seatsSPD: 12 seatsGrüne: 8 seatsLinke: 7 seatsFDP: 4 seatsAfD: 3 seatsMajority from 2651of 51 seats
  • CDU17
  • SPD12
  • Grüne8
  • Linke7
  • FDP4
  • AfD3
  • CDU + SPD29 of 51
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke32 of 51
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP29 of 51
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD28 of 51
  • CDU + Linke + FDP28 of 51
  • CDU + Linke + AfD27 of 51
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke27 of 51
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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