Single poll

INSA poll of 10 December 2019 for the Saarland state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
19 Nov 2019 to 2 Dec 2019
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU36.0%+1.0
  • SPD24.0%-9.0
  • Grüne15.0%+11.0
  • Linke11.0%-2.0
  • AfD7.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%-1.0
  • Others3.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Mar 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 19 Nov 2019 to 2 Dec 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Mar 2017, Grüne gains 11.0 points, SPD loses 9.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 4.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +4.0average 11.0
  • CDU -1.0average 37.0
  • SPD -1.0average 25.0
  • Linke -1.0average 12.0
  • AfD -1.0average 8.0
  • FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

51 seats by d'Hondt, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 20 seatsSPD: 13 seatsGrüne: 8 seatsLinke: 6 seatsAfD: 4 seatsMajority from 2651of 51 seats
  • CDU20
  • SPD13
  • Grüne8
  • Linke6
  • AfD4
  • CDU + SPD33 of 51
  • CDU + Grüne28 of 51
  • CDU + Linke26 of 51
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke27 of 51
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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