Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 26 December 2023 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 24 Dec 2023
- Respondents
- 987
- Method
- Online
- AfD36.5%+6.5
- Linke27.0%+2.0
- CDU16.0%-1.5
- SPD7.0%-3.0
- FDP4.0%-2.0
- Grüne3.0%-1.0
- Others6.5%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 May 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD ahead on 36.5%, followed by Linke on 27.0%. 987 people were surveyed from 17 to 24 Dec 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 May 2023, AfD gains 6.5 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Linke 7.0 points higher and CDU 6.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Dec 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +7.0average 20.0
- CDU -6.0average 22.0
- AfD +2.5average 34.0
- SPD -2.0average 9.0
- Grüne -1.0average 4.0
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD37
- Linke28
- CDU16
- SPD7
- AfD + Linke65 of 88
- AfD + CDU53 of 88
- Linke + CDU + SPD51 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.