Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 May 2023 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 28 May 2023
- Respondents
- 904
- Method
- Online
- AfD30.0%±0
- Linke25.0%-2.0
- CDU17.5%+2.5
- SPD10.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Grüne4.0%-1.0
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 Dec 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD ahead on 30.0%, followed by Linke on 25.0%. 904 people were surveyed from 16 to 28 May 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 Dec 2022, CDU gains 2.5 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 3.5 points lower and Linke 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -3.5average 21.0
- Linke +3.0average 22.0
- AfD +2.0average 28.0
- Grüne -2.0average 6.0
- SPD -1.0average 11.0
- FDP +1.0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD30
- Linke25
- CDU17
- SPD10
- FDP6
- AfD + Linke55 of 88
- AfD + CDU47 of 88
- Linke + CDU + SPD52 of 88
- Linke + CDU + FDP48 of 88
- AfD + SPD + FDP46 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.