Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 7 September 2022 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Aug 2022 to 6 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD28.0%+2.0
- Linke22.0%-2.0
- CDU20.5%+4.5
- SPD11.0%-3.0
- Grüne5.5%-1.5
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 15 Jun 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by Linke on 22.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 29 Aug 2022 to 6 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 15 Jun 2022, CDU gains 4.5 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 3.5 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.5average 24.5
- Grüne -2.0average 7.5
- Linke -1.0average 23.0
- SPD -1.0average 12.0
- CDU -0.5average 21.0
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD27
- Linke21
- CDU20
- SPD10
- FDP5
- Grüne5
- AfD + Linke48 of 88
- AfD + CDU47 of 88
- Linke + CDU + SPD51 of 88
- Linke + CDU + FDP46 of 88
- Linke + CDU + Grüne46 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.