Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 15 June 2022 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 15 Jun 2022
- Respondents
- 1,031
- Method
- Online
- AfD26.0%+3.0
- Linke24.0%±0
- CDU16.0%-2.0
- SPD14.0%-2.0
- Grüne7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 May 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by Linke on 24.0%. 1,031 people were surveyed from 7 to 15 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 May 2022, AfD gains 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 3.5 points lower and AfD 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -3.5average 19.5
- AfD +3.0average 23.0
- SPD -1.5average 15.5
- Grüne +1.0average 6.0
- FDP -1.0average 6.0
- Linke +0.5average 23.5
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD25
- Linke23
- CDU15
- SPD13
- Grüne7
- FDP5
- AfD + Linke48 of 88
- AfD + CDU + SPD53 of 88
- Linke + CDU + SPD51 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne47 of 88
- AfD + CDU + FDP45 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Grüne45 of 88
- Linke + CDU + Grüne45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.