Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 May 2022 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 30 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- Linke24.0%+4.0
- AfD23.0%+2.0
- CDU18.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%-4.0
- Grüne7.0%+2.0
- FDP4.0%-4.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 14 Apr 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Linke ahead on 24.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 23 to 30 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 14 Apr 2022, Linke gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, FDP loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has FDP 2.0 points lower and CDU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -2.0average 6.0
- CDU -1.5average 19.5
- Grüne +1.0average 6.0
- Linke +0.5average 23.5
- SPD +0.5average 15.5
- AfD ±0average 23.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- Linke24
- AfD23
- CDU18
- SPD16
- Grüne7
- Linke + AfD47 of 88
- Linke + CDU + SPD58 of 88
- AfD + CDU + SPD57 of 88
- Linke + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne48 of 88
- Linke + SPD + Grüne47 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Grüne46 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.