Single poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 14 April 2022 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork period
6 to 14 Apr 2022
Respondents
994
Method
Online
  • AfD21.0%
  • SPD20.0%
  • Linke20.0%
  • CDU19.0%
  • FDP8.0%
  • Grüne5.0%
  • Others7.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD ahead on 21.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 994 people were surveyed from 6 to 14 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 4.5 points higher and Linke 4.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +4.5average 15.5
  • Linke -4.0average 24.0
  • AfD -2.5average 23.5
  • FDP +1.5average 6.5
  • Grüne -0.5average 5.5
  • CDU ±0average 19.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 20 seatsSPD: 19 seatsLinke: 19 seatsCDU: 18 seatsFDP: 7 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • AfD20
  • SPD19
  • Linke19
  • CDU18
  • FDP7
  • Grüne5
  • AfD + SPD + Linke58 of 88
  • AfD + SPD + CDU57 of 88
  • AfD + Linke + CDU57 of 88
  • SPD + Linke + CDU56 of 88
  • AfD + SPD + FDP46 of 88
  • AfD + Linke + FDP46 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + FDP45 of 88
  • SPD + Linke + FDP45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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