Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 31 October 2022 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 31 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,008
- Method
- Online
- AfD28.0%±0
- Linke24.0%+2.0
- CDU17.5%-3.0
- SPD12.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Grüne6.0%+0.5
- Others6.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 7 Sep 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by Linke on 24.0%. 1,008 people were surveyed from 25 to 31 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 7 Sep 2022, CDU loses 3.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 3.5 points lower and AfD 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -3.5average 21.0
- AfD +2.5average 25.5
- Linke +1.5average 22.5
- Grüne -1.5average 7.5
- SPD +1.0average 11.0
- FDP +1.0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD26
- Linke23
- CDU16
- SPD11
- FDP6
- Grüne6
- AfD + Linke49 of 88
- AfD + CDU + SPD53 of 88
- Linke + CDU + SPD50 of 88
- AfD + CDU + FDP48 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne48 of 88
- Linke + CDU + FDP45 of 88
- Linke + CDU + Grüne45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.