Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 January 2024 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 29 Jan 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU28.5%-8.5
- AfD27.5%+1.5
- BSW23.0%
- SPD4.5%-7.5
- Grüne4.5%+0.5
- FDP4.0%-2.0
- Linke3.5%-6.5
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 May 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 28.5%, followed by AfD on 27.5%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 21 to 29 Jan 2024, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 May 2023, CDU loses 8.5 points, SPD loses 7.5 points, Linke loses 6.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 5.5 points lower and Linke 5.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jan 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -5.5average 33.0
- Linke -5.5average 9.0
- CDU -3.5average 32.0
- SPD -3.5average 8.0
- Grüne -0.5average 5.0
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU30
- AfD29
- BSW24
- CDU + AfD59 of 83
- CDU + BSW54 of 83
- AfD + BSW53 of 83
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.