Single poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 May 2023 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork period
16 to 28 May 2023
Respondents
732
Method
Online
  • CDU37.0%+5.5
  • AfD26.0%±0
  • SPD12.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%+1.5
  • Grüne4.0%-0.5
  • Others5.0%-5.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 Jan 2023.

In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 37.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 732 people were surveyed from 16 to 28 May 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 Jan 2023, CDU gains 5.5 points, FDP gains 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 4.0 points higher and Grüne 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +4.0average 8.0
  • Grüne -3.0average 7.0
  • CDU +2.0average 35.0
  • Linke -1.0average 11.0
  • AfD ±0average 26.0
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 34 seatsAfD: 24 seatsSPD: 11 seatsLinke: 9 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • CDU34
  • AfD24
  • SPD11
  • Linke9
  • FDP5
  • CDU + AfD58 of 83
  • CDU + SPD45 of 83
  • CDU + Linke43 of 83
  • AfD + SPD + Linke44 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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