Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 31 August 2022 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 30 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 1,010
- Method
- Online
- CDU29.5%±0
- Grüne26.0%-0.5
- SPD15.5%-4.5
- AfD9.0%+2.0
- FDP7.0%+0.5
- Linke3.5%+1.0
- Freie Wähler3.5%±0
- Others6.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 Jul 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 29.5%, followed by Grüne on 26.0%. 1,010 people were surveyed from 25 to 30 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 Jul 2022, SPD loses 4.5 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 8.5 points lower and Grüne 6.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -8.5average 24.0
- Grüne +6.5average 19.5
- CDU +4.0average 25.5
- FDP -1.5average 8.5
- Linke -1.5average 5.0
- AfD +0.5average 8.5
- Freie Wähler +0.5average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU37
- Grüne33
- SPD20
- AfD11
- FDP9
- CDU + Grüne70 of 110
- CDU + SPD57 of 110
- Grüne + SPD + AfD64 of 110
- Grüne + SPD + FDP62 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP57 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.