Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 July 2022 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 12 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,043
- Method
- Online
- CDU29.5%-2.5
- Grüne26.5%-0.5
- SPD20.0%+2.0
- AfD7.0%±0
- FDP6.5%+0.5
- Freie Wähler3.5%
- Linke2.5%-0.5
- Others4.5%-2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 18 Jun 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 29.5%, followed by Grüne on 26.5%. 1,043 people were surveyed from 7 to 12 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 18 Jun 2022, CDU loses 2.5 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 7.0 points higher and CDU 4.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +7.0average 19.5
- CDU +4.0average 25.5
- SPD -4.0average 24.0
- Linke -2.5average 5.0
- FDP -2.0average 8.5
- AfD -1.5average 8.5
- Freie Wähler +0.5average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU36
- Grüne32
- SPD25
- AfD9
- FDP8
- CDU + Grüne68 of 110
- CDU + SPD61 of 110
- Grüne + SPD57 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.