Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 18 June 2022 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 17 Jun 2022
- Respondents
- 1,123
- Method
- Online
- CDU32.0%+4.0
- Grüne27.0%+2.5
- SPD18.0%-3.0
- AfD7.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-2.0
- Linke3.0%-0.5
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 4 May 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 27.0%. 1,123 people were surveyed from 10 to 17 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 4 May 2022, CDU gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 2.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 7.5 points higher and CDU 6.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +7.5average 19.5
- CDU +6.5average 25.5
- SPD -6.0average 24.0
- FDP -2.5average 8.5
- Linke -2.0average 5.0
- AfD -1.5average 8.5
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU39
- Grüne33
- SPD22
- AfD9
- FDP7
- CDU + Grüne72 of 110
- CDU + SPD61 of 110
- Grüne + SPD + AfD64 of 110
- Grüne + SPD + FDP62 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.