Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 4 May 2022 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Apr 2022 to 4 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,023
- Method
- Online
- CDU28.0%+3.0
- Grüne24.5%+0.5
- SPD21.0%-3.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- AfD7.0%±0
- Linke3.5%-0.5
- Freie Wähler2.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 10 Mar 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.5%. 1,023 people were surveyed from 29 Apr 2022 to 4 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 10 Mar 2022, CDU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 5.0 points higher and SPD 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +5.0average 19.5
- SPD -3.0average 24.0
- CDU +2.5average 25.5
- AfD -1.5average 8.5
- Linke -1.5average 5.0
- Freie Wähler -1.0average 3.0
- FDP -0.5average 8.5
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU35
- Grüne30
- SPD26
- FDP10
- AfD9
- CDU + Grüne65 of 110
- CDU + SPD61 of 110
- Grüne + SPD56 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.