Single poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 10 March 2022 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork period
3 to 10 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,400
Method
Online
  • CDU25.0%±0
  • SPD24.0%-2.0
  • Grüne24.0%+5.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%-2.0
  • Linke4.0%-2.0
  • Freie Wähler2.5%-0.5
  • Others5.5%+1.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 Jan 2022.

In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,400 people were surveyed from 3 to 10 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 Jan 2022, Grüne gains 5.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 4.0 points higher and CDU 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +4.0average 20.0
  • CDU -2.0average 27.0
  • FDP -1.0average 9.0
  • Linke -1.0average 5.0
  • Freie Wähler -0.5average 3.0
  • SPD ±0average 24.0
  • AfD ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 31 seatsSPD: 30 seatsGrüne: 30 seatsFDP: 10 seatsAfD: 9 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU31
  • SPD30
  • Grüne30
  • FDP10
  • AfD9
  • CDU + SPD61 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne61 of 110
  • SPD + Grüne60 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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