Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 January 2022 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 28 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 1,102
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.0%+1.5
- CDU25.0%+3.5
- Grüne19.0%+0.5
- AfD9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-5.0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 4 Dec 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU on 25.0%. 1,102 people were surveyed from 21 to 28 Jan 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 4 Dec 2021, FDP loses 5.0 points, CDU gains 3.5 points, SPD gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 5.0 points higher and FDP 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +5.0average 20.0
- FDP -3.0average 11.0
- AfD -2.0average 11.0
- Grüne -1.0average 20.0
- Linke +1.0average 5.0
- SPD ±0average 26.0
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD31
- CDU30
- Grüne22
- AfD11
- FDP9
- Linke7
- SPD + CDU61 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD64 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + AfD63 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + FDP62 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + FDP61 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + Linke60 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + Linke59 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.