Single poll
Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 4 December 2021 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Nov 2021 to 2 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD24.5%
- CDU21.5%
- Grüne18.5%
- FDP13.0%
- AfD9.0%
- Linke5.0%
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others5.5%
24.5%
SPD
21.5%
CDU
18.5%
Grüne
13.0%
FDP
9.0%
AfD
5.0%
Linke
3.0%
Freie Wähler
5.5%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 24.5%, followed by CDU on 21.5%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 26 Nov 2021 to 2 Dec 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has FDP 2.0 points higher and AfD 2.0 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.0average 11.0
- AfD -2.0average 11.0
- SPD -1.5average 26.0
- CDU +1.5average 20.0
- Grüne -1.5average 20.0
- Linke ±0average 5.0
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD29
- CDU26
- Grüne22
- FDP16
- AfD11
- Linke6
- SPD + CDU + Grüne77 of 110
- SPD + CDU + FDP71 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + FDP67 of 110
- SPD + CDU + AfD66 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + FDP64 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD62 of 110
- SPD + CDU + Linke61 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + AfD59 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + Linke57 of 110
- SPD + FDP + AfD56 of 110
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.