Single poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 16 September 2022 for the Hamburg state election

Commissioned by
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork period
9 to 16 Sep 2022
Respondents
950
Method
Online
  • SPD32.0%-8.0
  • Grüne27.0%+0.5
  • CDU15.0%+5.0
  • Linke8.0%+2.0
  • AfD7.0%+2.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 Jan 2022.

In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 27.0%. 950 people were surveyed from 9 to 16 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 30 Jan 2022, SPD loses 8.0 points, CDU gains 5.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.

Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

SPD: 41 seatsGrüne: 34 seatsCDU: 19 seatsLinke: 10 seatsAfD: 9 seatsFDP: 8 seatsMajority from 61121of 121 seats
  • SPD41
  • Grüne34
  • CDU19
  • Linke10
  • AfD9
  • FDP8
  • SPD + Grüne75 of 121
  • SPD + CDU + Linke70 of 121
  • SPD + CDU + AfD69 of 121
  • SPD + CDU + FDP68 of 121
  • Grüne + CDU + Linke63 of 121
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD62 of 121
  • Grüne + CDU + FDP61 of 121
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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