Single poll
Trend Research Hamburg poll of 17 September 2019 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Hamburg Zwei
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 11 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 618
- Method
- Online
- SPD28.0%
- Grüne28.0%
- CDU14.0%
- Linke11.0%
- AfD9.0%
- FDP6.0%
- Others4.0%
28.0%
SPD
28.0%
Grüne
14.0%
CDU
11.0%
Linke
9.0%
AfD
6.0%
FDP
4.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Trend Research Hamburg has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 28.0%. 618 people were surveyed from 6 to 11 Sep 2019, method Online, commissioned by Hamburg Zwei.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Trend Research Hamburg has Grüne 3.7 points higher and SPD 3.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.7average 24.3
- SPD -3.5average 31.5
- FDP -2.0average 8.0
- AfD +1.7average 7.3
- CDU -1.5average 15.5
- Linke +0.7average 10.3
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD35
- Grüne35
- CDU18
- Linke14
- AfD11
- FDP8
- SPD + Grüne70 of 121
- SPD + CDU + Linke67 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + Linke67 of 121
- SPD + CDU + AfD64 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + AfD64 of 121
- SPD + CDU + FDP61 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + FDP61 of 121
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.