Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 20 February 2020 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 20 Feb 2020
- Respondents
- 1,184
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD39.0%+2.0
- Grüne24.0%-1.0
- CDU12.0%-1.0
- Linke8.5%+0.5
- AfD6.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%+0.5
- Others5.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 Feb 2020.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,184 people were surveyed from 19 to 20 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 Feb 2020, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 4.4 points higher and CDU 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +4.4average 34.6
- CDU -1.8average 13.8
- Grüne -1.4average 25.4
- FDP -0.9average 5.9
- AfD -0.7average 6.7
- Linke -0.1average 8.6
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD50
- Grüne31
- CDU15
- Linke11
- AfD8
- FDP6
- SPD + Grüne81 of 121
- SPD + CDU65 of 121
- SPD + Linke61 of 121
- SPD + AfD + FDP64 of 121
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.