Single poll
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 February 2020 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 13 Feb 2020
- Respondents
- 1,128
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD37.0%
- Grüne25.0%
- CDU13.0%
- Linke8.0%
- AfD7.0%
- FDP4.5%
- Others5.5%
37.0%
SPD
25.0%
Grüne
13.0%
CDU
8.0%
Linke
7.0%
AfD
4.5%
FDP
5.5%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 1,128 people were surveyed from 11 to 13 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 6.0 points higher and CDU 2.3 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +6.0average 31.0
- CDU -2.3average 15.3
- FDP -2.3average 6.8
- Linke -1.7average 9.7
- Grüne +0.2average 24.8
- AfD ±0average 7.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD50
- Grüne34
- CDU17
- Linke11
- AfD9
- SPD + Grüne84 of 121
- SPD + CDU67 of 121
- SPD + Linke61 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + Linke62 of 121
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.