Forsa poll of 6 January 2020 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Hamburger Abendblatt
- Fieldwork period
- 18 Dec 2019 to 2 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 1,009
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD29.0%-1.0
- Grüne26.0%+2.0
- CDU16.0%+2.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%-2.0
- AfD7.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Jan 2019.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 26.0%. 1,009 people were surveyed from 18 Dec 2019 to 2 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Hamburger Abendblatt.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Jan 2019, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -2.2average 12.2
- Grüne +1.2average 24.8
- CDU +0.8average 15.2
- AfD -0.6average 7.6
- SPD +0.1average 28.9
- FDP -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD37
- Grüne33
- CDU20
- Linke13
- FDP9
- AfD9
- SPD + Grüne70 of 121
- SPD + CDU + Linke70 of 121
- SPD + CDU + FDP66 of 121
- SPD + CDU + AfD66 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + Linke66 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + FDP62 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + AfD62 of 121
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.